DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ China's economy looks like a mess — but some sectors are quietly doing well in its '2-speed economy'
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Meanwhile, its financial markets are bleeding, the property market has gone up in smoke, local government debt appears alarming, and foreign investors are exiting in droves. Real estate — which was a huge part of China's economy — has been hit badly, he said. AdvertisementTravel has picked up after years of pandemic lockdownServices is another pillar of China's economy that Beijing has been trying to build up. AdvertisementThis is in part because new growth industries are not able to take the place of real estate — yet. Because the property market accounts for one-quarter of China's GDP and more than two-thirds of household wealth, its overall drag on China's economy is much greater than whatever is doing well right now.

Persons: —, Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, AllianceBernstein, John Lin, Lin, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Wood Mackenzie, AllianceBerstein's Lin, Nomura, Loo Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg TV, Oxford Economics, Nomura, Oxford Locations: China, GlobalData.TS, Real, COVID, Beijing, Europe, Taiwan, South Korea

☆ China is heading for a 'lost decade' if it doesn't reform and grow, an analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China risks a "lost decade" of slow growth if it doesn't reform its economy, warns an economist. AdvertisementChina faces a "lost decade" of sluggish economic growth much like Japan if it doesn't reform its economy, according to an economist. "China could certainly have a lost decade of growth," Rory Green, the chief China economist at GlobalData.TS Lombard, wrote in a note on Thursday. Leaders are attempting to create a new political-economic model, one less reliant on debt-fueled property-led growth," wrote Green. Meanwhile, technocrats in China generally believe China needs to reform and grow — or risk a Japan-style lost decade, Green added.

Persons: Beijing's, —, Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Xi Jinping, Green Organizations: Service, cri sis Locations: China, Japan, GlobalData.TS, Beijing, technocrats

☆ Beijing is making its biggest move yet to patch up the property crisis threatening to blow up China's economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

China is drafting a "white list" of property developers for bank financing, per Bloomberg. China's massive property sector is in a slump, adding to the country's post-COVID economic woes. AdvertisementChina's finally starting to do something about the three-year property crisis that's been weighing on its COVID-scarred economy. China's real-estate sector has been mired in a crisis since the second half 2021 when a liquidity crisis at Evergrande — once China's second-largest developer — came into public view. AdvertisementStill, not everyone is convinced Beijing's property "white list" will be the solution to China's property problems.

Persons: —, China's, Nomura, it's, Rory Green, Green, White Knight, Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, BI, Mizuho Bank, Business Locations: China, Beijing, Asia

☆ China won't end up like Japan - but it's headed for a 'grinding deceleration' with a narrow path to avoid stagnation, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China has only a narrow path to avoid economic stagnation, according to TS Lombard. Stimulus from the government can offset weak investment and low consumption, but only partially. "We define Sinification as a grinding deceleration in activity led by falling property investment and weak consumption," he later added. That's well-below the double-digit growth rate China has seen for much of the past 20 years -- but still better than the 1% growth rate Japan saw in the 90s. AdvertisementAdvertisementOther forecasters have cast similar warnings over China's economy, seeing only slim chances the nation can avoid a difficult economic slowdown.

Persons: —, Rory Green, Green, That's, Morgan Stanley Organizations: TS Lombard, Service, United Locations: China, Japan's, United Nations, Japan

☆ We've upgraded China stocks, TS Lombard economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe've upgraded China stocks, TS Lombard economist saysRory Green, chief China economist and head of Asia research at TS Lombard, discusses the Chinese property market, stimulus measures and the outlook for stocks.

Persons: Rory Green Organizations: We've, TS Lombard Locations: China, Asia

☆ Most of what we've heard about the yuan dethroning the dollar is from the West. Here's what China's actually said about it.
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

China wants the yuan to play a bigger global role but hasn't called for it to replace the dollar. China wants to make the yuan the global currency," The Washington Post reported in May. Meanwhile, the Chinese currency is in fourth place, after the Japanese yen. In April this year, Xi again raised China's goal of yuan internationalization in Qiushi magazine, a Chinese Communist Party journal. In Qiushi, Xi said that China was committed to promoting yuan internationalization "in an orderly manner."

Persons: Xi Jinping, Niall Ferguson, hasn't, dollarization, China's, Rory Green, Xi, SWIFT, Liqing Zhang, Zhang Organizations: Service, NPR, Washington Post, Stanford, CNBC, European Central Bank, Communist, TS Lombard, Communist Party, Green, Central Bank of, Media, Communist Party's, Daily, Chinese Communist Party, Securities Times, Central University of Finance, Economics Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing, Russia, London, Xinhua

☆ What new norm of slower Chinese growth could mean for the global economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Ying Tang | NurPhoto | Getty ImagesThe Chinese economy could be facing a prolonged period of lower growth, a prospect which may have global ramifications after 45 years of rapid expansion and globalization. The ruling Chinese Communist Party has set a growth target of 5% for 2023, lower than usual and notably modest for a country that has averaged 9% annual GDP growth since opening up its economy in 1978. For the global economy, however, the most immediate spillover of a Chinese slowdown will likely come in commodities and the industrial cycle, as China reconfigures its economy to reduce its reliance on a property sector that has been "absorbing and driving commodity prices." "This shift from a complementary economy, where Beijing and Berlin kind of benefit from each other, to now being competitors is another big consequence of the structural slowdown," Green said. He noted that beyond the immediate loss of demand for commodities, China's reaction to its shifting economic sands will also have "second order impacts" for the global economy.

Persons: Ying Tang, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Evans, it's, Xi Jinping's, Rory Green, Green Organizations: Beijing, Communist Party, Capital Economics, Triple, TS Lombard, CNBC Locations: Suzhou, Shanghai, China, Asia, Beijing, Japan, Brazil, Australia, Germany, Berlin

☆ China eyes support for consumer, private sectors as growth falters
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Kevin Yao | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

China's cabinet is soliciting proposals from economists and advisers, policy insiders told Reuters, with big changes needing approval from top party leaders, and investors now looking to an expected Politburo meeting in July for clues on policy direction. However, the modest borrowing cost cuts - limited by concerns over banks' profitability and currency stability - will not be enough to boost economic activity, policy insiders said. Authorities are also considering support for the ailing property sector after earlier measures failed to gain traction, including easing credit conditions and home buying curbs in some areas, policy insiders. Economists blame the fading recovery on the "scarring effects" caused by COVID and regulatory curbs on property and tech sectors, which have hit household and private sector spending. Supporting depressed private-sector firms, which account for 60% of economic output and 80% of urban employment, will be essential to lift incomes, jobs and consumption, policy insiders and analysts said.

Persons: Rory Green, Jia Kang, Kevin Yao, Sam Holmes Organizations: quicken, Reuters, People's Bank of China's, TS Lombard, China Academy of New, Economics, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing

☆ 3 reasons why even China doesn't want the yuan to replace the dollar as the world's reserve currency
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The Chinese yuan is one of the top contenders challenging the USD's dominance as a reserve currency. However, Beijing may not be fully supportive of making the yuan the reserve currency of choice. Here's why even China isn't that keen on de-dollarizing the world economy and making the yuan the top reserve currency. So, the US will need to contend with ever larger amounts of deficit, in order to maintain its pre-eminent reserve currency position. Given the issues standing in Beijing's way, it's unlikely for the yuan to take over the greenback's position as the world's reserve currency of choice, said Green.

☆ China has U-turned on almost all major policies it put in place in the last 3 years — and it's not surprising, given the state of its economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

But the country reversed some major policies in response to the abysmal GDP growth. China's GDP grew by 3% in 2022 — the worst since the chaotic Cultural Revolution ended. Most recently, after three years of pandemic lockdowns and isolation, China abruptly reversed course and abolished its zero-COVID policy — leaving the world guessing why. China's GDP grew only 3.0% in 2022 — the worst in nearly half a century since the chaotic Cultural Revolution ended. China's GDP growth is vital because it is the world's second-largest economy after the US, so it's a driving force for global investment and trade.

☆ China protests could usher in 'more authoritarian' Xi era, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Police form a cordon during a protest against Chinas strict zero COVID measures on November 27, 2022 in Beijing, China. "It raises the pressure on Xi Jinping, and I think likely puts him towards a more authoritarian approach to governance in China," Green added. As such, Xi's CCP could clamp down further on public protests, Green noted. That was the case during 2019's pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong, and 1989's Tiananmen Square protests on the Chinese mainland. "In the short term, the Covid policy will only be fine-tuned without moving the needle," Bruce Pang, chief economist and head of research for Greater China at JLL, said Monday.

☆ Chinese economy to stay in 'Covid coma' until at least Q2 2023, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese economy to stay in 'Covid coma' until at least Q2 2023, economist saysRory Green, head of China and Asia economics at TS Lombard, discusses the eruption of protests across China against strict Covid-19 lockdown measures, and the outlook for the Chinese economy.

☆ China protests send global stocks lower as strategists see Covid disruption persisting
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2022. Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesGlobal stocks pulled back on Monday after rare protests erupted across China over the weekend amid growing unrest over the country's zero-Covid policy. An apparent easing earlier this month had fueled hopes of a gradual easing of the country's strict Covid controls. Meanwhile, profits at China's industrial companies fell 3% from January to October as Covid curbs stymied activity. "While the setback to sentiment from protests in mainland and tightening of Covid restrictions in several cities are unlikely to bode well for sentiment, we are cautious not to interpret these as overly bearish."

Search resuls for: "Rory Green"

13 mentions found